Science

Earth Day Pledges Met and Lapsed: A 1970-2026 Scorecard

Earth Day's clearest wins are the pledges with specific targets and enforcement: US air pollution is down 79% since 1970 and the Montreal Protocol has the ozon…

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FIRST EARTH DAY

About 20 million Americans take part

Teach-ins, rallies and clean-ups over smog, oil spills and polluted rivers. Organised by Senator Gaylord Nelson and Denis Hayes.

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PROTEST TO LAW

EPA and the Clean Air Act

The EPA opened on 2 December and the Clean Air Act was signed on 31 December. Since 1970, six common air pollutants are down 79% while US GDP grew 338%.

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OZONE

The Montreal Protocol

Countries agreed to phase out CFCs. Every country had ratified it by 2009. The ozone layer is on track to recover by about 2040, and 2066 over Antarctica.

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RIO

Climate enters the agenda

The UN climate convention was signed, but carbon dioxide comes from energy, transport, farming and industry, not a short list of chemicals.

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KYOTO

Binding targets, limited reach

The 36 countries fully in it complied with a 5% cut below 1990. But the US never ratified, Canada left, and global emissions kept rising.

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PARIS

Well below 2C, aim for 1.5C

Every country writes its own plan, an NDC, and strengthens it every five years.

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GLASGOW

Net zero, forests and methane

India set net zero for 2070. Leaders pledged to end deforestation and cut methane 30% by 2030.

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FORESTS AND METHANE

Halfway, and off course

8.1 million hectares of forest lost in 2024, 63% above the path. Methane plans deliver about 8%, not 30%.

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PLASTICS

A treaty deadline missed

Talks due to finish by end-2024 failed in Busan and again in Geneva. A new chair was elected in February 2026.

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INDIA 50%

Clean power capacity target met early

Non-fossil sources passed half of installed capacity five years before 2030, reaching 54.18% by June 2026. But they generated 29.2% of power in 2025-26.

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THE GAP

2.3-2.5C with pledges, 2.8C on policies

Emissions hit a record 57.7 billion tonnes in 2024. 1.5C needs a 55% cut from 2019 by 2035.

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US EXIT

The US leaves Paris

The US exit took effect, and in February the EPA rescinded the endangerment finding behind vehicle climate rules.

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INDIA 2035

New targets, higher bar

60% clean power capacity, a 47% cut in emissions intensity from 2005 and a 3.5-4 billion tonne carbon sink by 2035.

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THE TEST

Where promises meet deadlines

Forests, methane, 30x30, India's capacity goals and the first Paris pledges all fall due in 2030.

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