El Nino conditions are confirmed present in the tropical Pacific as of August 2026, with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center holding an El Nino Advisory. NOAA's A…
NOAA's Climate Prediction Center has held an El Nino Advisory since mid-2026, with a weekly Nino-3.4 anomaly of +2.7C by mid-August. This is observed, not forecast.
Super El Nino is informal shorthand for an exceptionally strong event - not an official NOAA category. NOAA's real categories are weak, moderate, strong and very strong.
NOAA gives a greater than 90% chance of a very strong El Nino this fall/winter. The UK Met Office and Copernicus flag 2027, not 2026, as most exposed to a new global hea…
India's 2026 monsoon rainfall was running about 12% below normal by late August, with a developing positive Indian Ocean Dipole compounding the risk to crops and food pr…
NOAA favors a wetter US South and warmer northern tier for winter 2026-27. The UK/Europe link is far weaker and indirect - not a direct cause-and-effect forecast.
The Panama Canal Authority has cut vessel draft limits in stages through 2026 as El Nino-linked dryness lowers Gatun Lake, raising costs for global shipping.
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