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Europe's Energy Crisis: Timeline, Causes & 2026 Shock

Europe's energy crisis is a series of shocks: the 1973 oil embargo, the 1979 Iranian revolution, the 2009 gas cut-off and the 2021-23 price crisis. The EU cut…

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Oil shock

Arab producers announce an embargo

After the October 1973 war, Arab oil producers announced an embargo. Oil rose from $2.90 to $11.65 a barrel by January 1974.

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Second shock

The Iranian revolution cuts supply

Iranian output fell by 4.8 million barrels a day, about 7% of world supply, by January 1979. Prices more than doubled in a year.

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Gas cut-off

A Russia-Ukraine dispute stops transit

Gas through Ukraine stopped by 7 January and more than 15 countries were affected. Flows resumed around 20 January.

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Price spike

The Commission publishes a toolbox

Wholesale prices were rising before the invasion. The Commission set out what governments could do under existing rules.

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Invasion

Russia invades Ukraine

Russia supplied about 45% of EU gas imports. Cuts and the Nord Stream halt followed, and gas hit about 319 euros per MWh on 26 August.

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Response

REPowerEU, storage and a 15% cut

REPowerEU, a 90% storage duty and a voluntary 15% gas demand cut carried the EU through the first winter.

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Away from Russia

Russian gas falls to 12%

The Commission says Russian gas fell from 45% to 12% of EU gas, and solar and wind beat fossil fuels in 2025.

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The ban

A legal ban on Russian gas

Regulation (EU) 2026/261 ends long-term Russian LNG on 1 January 2027 and long-term pipeline gas by 30 September 2027.

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Gulf shock

Hormuz closes, Qatar halts LNG

Almost 20% of global LNG was cut off, and EU storage ended winter near 28% full.

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Now

Gas near 90 euros, storage below 75%

Market reports put gas near 90-92 euros and EU storage at 74.26% on 20 October, below last year. The crisis has not ended.

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