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Iran-U.S. War and India: Oil, Rupee, Inflation & Economic Impact

India is exposed to the Iran-U.S. war mainly through energy prices, Strait of Hormuz shipping risk, and the cost of importing crude oil, not through direct inv…

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IRANIAN REVOLUTION

Iranian Revolution and the Global Oil Shock

The overthrow of the Shah cut Iranian oil exports and roughly doubled global crude prices within a year. Import-dependent India faced severe forex pressure, establishing…

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JCPOA WITHDRAWAL

U.S. Withdraws from the Iran Deal; India Zeroes Out Iranian Oil

Washington's exit from the JCPOA and reimposed sanctions forced India to halt Iranian crude imports by mid-2019 after its waiver was revoked, pushing refiners toward cos…

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WAR BEGINS

The 2026 Iran-U.S. War Begins

U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026 opened the current war; Hormuz shipping restrictions began within hours, starting the price and rupee pressure India still face…

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LPG PRICE HIKE

India Raises LPG Prices, Citing the Hormuz Crisis

A domestic 14.2kg LPG cylinder rose Rs 60, explicitly linked by the government to Hormuz-driven supply disruption, one of the most direct household costs in the entire c…

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DUTY CUTS & RUSSIA PIVOT

Fuel Duty Cuts and a Supplier Pivot to Russia

India cut petrol and diesel import duties on March 27 to shield consumers, while Russia's share of India's crude imports jumped toward 50% as Middle East-origin supply f…

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FIRST RETAIL HIKE

First Petrol/Diesel Price Hike in Four Years

Indian Oil, BPCL and HPCL raised petrol and diesel by Rs 3/litre on May 15 — the first such hike in over four years, showing duty cuts alone could not fully absorb the s…

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SHIPPING COSTS SPIKE

Hormuz Shipping Insurance and Freight Costs Spike

War-risk insurance premiums for Gulf-transiting tankers rose from roughly 1-3% to 7.5-10% of hull value, and freight rates multiplied, raising landed costs independent o…

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CURRENT STATE

Deadline Expires; India's Numbers Hit New Highs

A 60-day U.S.-Iran negotiating window expired August 17 with no deal. Brent rose to near $91.86/barrel, the rupee traded near Rs 95.7/USD, and July CPI hit a 19-month hi…

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