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Lithium Supply Concentration: Mining vs Refining, 1817-2026

Lithium supply is concentrated differently at each stage. In 2025 Australia mined about 32% of the world total, China 21% and Chile 19% (USGS), while China pro…

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DISCOVERY

Arfwedson finds lithium

Johan August Arfwedson found it in petalite in 1817. Its name comes from the Greek lithos, stone.

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INDUSTRY

First commercial lithium metal

Metallgesellschaft began commercial production by electrolysis in 1923, for alloys, greases and glass.

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NUCLEAR

The US strategic era

The US needed lithium-6 for hydrogen bombs. US mines led world output for decades.

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SCIENCE

The lithium-ion idea

Whittingham, Goodenough and Yoshino, who shared the 2019 Nobel Prize in Chemistry.

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BRINE

Chile's salt flats

Brine evaporated in solar ponds was far cheaper than rock. By the late 1990s Chilean brine set the price.

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BATTERY

Sony's first lithium-ion cell

Sony sold the first commercial lithium-ion battery in 1991. A&T Battery followed in 1992.

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ROCK

Australian ore, Chinese refiners

Tianqi took control of Greenbushes in 2013. Australian spodumene was shipped to China for conversion.

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CELLS

China's battery grip

About 77% of global cell manufacturing capacity in 2020, BloombergNEF found.

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BOOM

An eightfold price spike

About USD 80,000 a tonne of carbonate equivalent in late 2022, roughly eight times the 2020 level.

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CRASH

Prices collapse

New supply arrived as EV growth slowed. Prices fell about 75% in 2023, the IEA says.

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SPLIT

Mines spread, refining tightens

Australia mined 32%, China 21%, Chile 19%. China refined about 75%, up from 70%.

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BANS

Zimbabwe halts concentrate

Zimbabwe suspended concentrate exports and prices nearly doubled to about USD 20,000 a tonne.

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WATCH

China's controls deadline

China's suspension of export controls on batteries and graphite anodes is due to end on 10 November 2026.

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OUTLOOK

Will supply diversify?

The IEA projects China at about 66% of refining in 2035, while top-three miners fall below 70%.

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