Business

NAFTA Timeline: Trade, Jobs and the USMCA (1989-2027)

NAFTA took effect on 1 January 1994 and was replaced by USMCA on 1 July 2020, with higher car content rules and stronger labour enforcement. On 1 July 2026 the…

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The deal

NAFTA takes effect

It phased out most tariffs among the three countries and built the supply chains behind cars, machinery and farm trade.

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Trade

US goods trade multiplies

US goods exports to Canada and Mexico rose from $165bn to $677bn, and imports from $178bn to $897bn. Growth had many causes.

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Gains and pressures

Jobs moved, unevenly

It supported export jobs and displaced workers in some industries. Automation, China and recessions also cut jobs, so no single number is NAFTA's alone.

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Politics

Trump targets NAFTA

Critics said it moved factories to Mexico. Supporters said it made supply chains efficient. Talks opened in August 2017.

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Signed

USMCA is signed

The US-Mexico-Canada Agreement, called CUSMA in Canada and T-MEC in Mexico. It still needed ratification.

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In force

USMCA replaces NAFTA

Car content rose from 62.5% to 75%, with a US$16-an-hour labour test, 70% North American steel and aluminium and stronger labour rules.

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Review

The US does not renew

No. The US declined to renew it in its current form. It stays in force and is now reviewed every year until 2036.

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Tariffs

US-Canada talks collapse

Talks collapsed on 21 August. The US put 50% tariffs on about $20bn of Canadian goods, and Canada retaliated from 8 September.

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Next

The 2027 review

Public comments close on 12 January 2027, ahead of the next annual review around 1 July 2027.

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