Politics

Is a Red Sea Defence Alliance Really Forming? Inside the Pacts, Patrols and Politics

There is no single, formally named Red Sea Defence Alliance. Four separate arrangements exist - CTF-153, EUNAVFOR Aspides, Operation Prosperity Guardian and th…

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CTF-153 FORMED

Combined Maritime Forces Creates CTF-153

A 34-nation naval partnership stood up a dedicated Red Sea, Bab el-Mandeb and Gulf of Aden task force in April 2022 - over a year before the Houthi crisis began.

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ATTACKS BEGIN

Houthi Forces Hijack the Galaxy Leader

On November 19, 2023, Houthi forces seized this car carrier in the Red Sea, opening a maritime campaign against shipping that would run for years.

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COALITION FORMED

Operation Prosperity Guardian Announced

The US announced a multinational coalition on December 18, 2023, to escort commercial shipping through the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden.

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EU MISSION LAUNCHES

EUNAVFOR Aspides Begins Operations

Europe launched its own defensive-only naval mission in February 2024, deliberately kept separate from the US-led coalition's command.

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DEFENCE PACT SIGNED

Saudi Arabia and Pakistan Sign a Mutual Defence Pact

The September 2025 Strategic Mutual Defence Agreement became the template for the trilateral pact signed eleven months later in Mecca.

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CEASEFIRE PAUSE

Gaza Ceasefire Brings a Houthi Pullback

A US-brokered Gaza ceasefire in October 2025 led Houthi forces to pause large-scale attacks on shipping by mid-November.

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IRAN WAR BEGINS

US and Israel Strike Iran; Khamenei Killed

February 28, 2026 strikes killed Iran's Supreme Leader and triggered a war that reshaped Gulf security calculations for months.

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HORMUZ CRISIS

Strait of Hormuz Crisis Tests Gulf Defence Pacts

Iran's March 2026 attacks on Hormuz shipping led Saudi Arabia to invoke its pact with Pakistan for the first time.

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THREAT RENEWED

Houthis Threaten Saudi Tankers Again

On August 5, 2026, Houthi forces threatened Saudi oil tankers in the northern Red Sea, days before a new defence pact was signed.

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MECCA PACT SIGNED

Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan Sign the Mecca Pact

The August 7, 2026 trilateral defence agreement has no Red Sea mandate - officials call it defensive, not a maritime alliance.

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