History

Yom Kippur War Timeline: Israel's 1973 Intelligence Failure

Israel was surprised on 6 October 1973 because its intelligence chiefs believed Egypt and Syria would not attack and read the evidence through that belief. The…

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Diplomacy

Egypt and Israel sign a peace treaty

After the 1974 disengagement and the Camp David Accords of 17 September 1978, Egypt and Israel signed a peace treaty in Washington on 26 March 1979.

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Inquiry

The Agranat final report

The commission's final report ran to more than 1,500 pages, but only its introduction was made public.

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Inquiry

Golda Meir resigns

The commission cleared Golda Meir of direct responsibility, but she announced her resignation on 11 April 1974 after public anger. Some accounts say 10 April.

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Inquiry

The Agranat interim report

The report held Chief of Staff David Elazar responsible and recommended removing him, Eli Zeira, three other officers and Southern Command's chief. It made no ruling on…

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Inquiry

The US publishes its own post-mortem

A US review found collection was adequate but analysts did not perceive the growing risk. It cited preconceptions and heavy reliance on Israeli assessments.

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Diplomacy

Ceasefires arrive in stages

Resolution 338 passed on 22 October and 339 on 23 October. Ceasefires held on 24 and 25 October; the Km 101 agreement followed on 11 November.

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War

Egypt and Syria attack

At about 14:00 on 6 October, Egypt and Syria attacked on the Suez Canal and the Golan Heights. Syrian forces took the Hermon outpost about 17:00.

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Warning signs

A Mossad source warns of attack

Mossad chief Zvi Zamir relayed a message from Ashraf Marwan, dated 5 October, that attack would come on 6 October. It said dusk; the attack began at 14:00.

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Warning signs

Intelligence rates war lower than low

General Staff transcripts record Military Intelligence chief Eli Zeira putting the odds of a coordinated attack at lower than low the day before the war.

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Warning signs

The Six-Day War shapes the Concept

Israel's 1967 victory reinforced a belief that Arab states would not start a war they could not win, a belief later called the Concept.

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